Kalshi Trading System
Two trading bots sharing one execution engine. Ran for about a month, switched off April 2026.
Numbers
- 820+ markets traded live
- 12,775 markets backtested, plus a 10,000-path Monte Carlo
- $20 to $500 in the first week, on deliberately tiny stakes
The bet
- A handful of Kalshi accounts consistently move markets
- When they agree on a direction, follow them
What it did
- Whale consensus bot: took the side the biggest traders agreed on
- Crypto binaries bot: traded crypto yes/no contracts on its own signal
- Shared execution engine: both bots ordered through one code path
- Risk: fractional Kelly sizing, circuit breakers, kill switch at 40% drawdown
- Telegram control: every fill and signal on my phone, one message to shut it all down
Python, WebSockets, Docker, GCP